Treasury yields, auctions and the curveEconomic data & macro releases
Writer

Rebecca Tolland

Rebecca Tolland writes for Curvo Journal and other Independent Journal publications, covering economic data and Treasury markets and the Federal Reserve and central banks. Reporting under this byline is prepared by the Independent Journal editorial desk from primary sources, with AI assistance, and reviewed under our editorial policy.

15 articles

Bond market

Anthropic IPO Filing and $213B Supply Test the Bond Market

An Anthropic IPO filing lands as Treasury readies $213 billion in note sales around the Fed decision, putting the bond market and AI spending in focus.

3 min read
Oil tanker at sea approaching a port
Treasury yields

Treasury yields slide as Russian diesel heads to the US

Treasury yields have fallen over two weeks as the bond market tests the inflation story, and a tanker of Russian diesel bound for New York adds a new energy angle.

3 min read
Federal Reserve building exterior in Washington
Treasury yields

Are Treasury Yields Pricing In a Fed Policy Mistake?

An Investing.com analysis asks whether the bond market is pricing a Fed misstep, as stronger crude demand and India's 7.9% output gain add to the growth debate.

3 min read
New houses under construction in a residential development
Treasury yields

10-Year Treasury Yield Slips as Housing Starts Fall 5.2%

The 10-year Treasury yield eased Tuesday after housing starts fell 5.2%, a day after hot inflation data pushed the benchmark to a closely watched technical level.

3 min read
Federal Reserve headquarters building in Washington
Treasury yields

Fed Hike Talk Jolts Treasury Yields at the Short End

Fed's Daly says rate hikes are likely needed but not urgent, while 2-year Treasury yields jump 12 bps and October hike odds reach 45%, per Investing.com.

3 min read
Aerial view of suburban houses, representing the mortgage market
Treasury Yields

Who Absorbs Duration Risk as Treasury Yields Climb Past 5%?

The 10-year Treasury yield rose 41 basis points in a month to 5.24%. Mortgage hedging and heavy issuance raise a question: who absorbs the duration risk?

3 min read
10-year note auction bid-to-cover ratio
Treasury Auctions

Treasury Auctions Explained: Bid-to-Cover, Tails and Why They Matter

How a Treasury auction works, what bid-to-cover, tails and indirect bidders signal, and why recent 10-year and 30-year sales matter beyond the bond market.

3 min read
Treasury yields, October 2 close
Treasury Yields

Fed Hike Odds Fade for October, but Treasury Yields Stay High

Futures put the odds of an October Fed hike at 22.1%, down from 64.2%, yet 2-, 10- and 30-year Treasury yields rose after a weak September jobs report.

3 min read
Real Yields

Analyst Sees 10-Year Treasury Near 6% as Real Yields Climb

One analyst argues rising real yields point to a 5.8% to 6% 10-year Treasury yield, as the Fed's September minutes tilt hawkish and a 10-year auction clears.

3 min read
10-year Treasury auction high yield, 2026
Treasury Yields

Bessent's 'House' Remark Meets a 5.3% 10-Year Treasury Yield

Treasury Secretary Bessent said he was 'the house' on Sept. 8; a month later the 30-year yield hit 5.70% and the 10-year 5.32%, the highest since 2002.

3 min read
Federal Reserve

Fed Minutes Are Out: What Treasury Yields Will Look For

The Fed released minutes of its September 15-16, 2026 meeting. Here is what bond investors typically parse in them, and what to watch for Treasury yields next.

3 min read
The U.S. Treasury Department building in Washington, where bill auctions are announced
Treasury bills

Treasury auction: $95 billion of 13-week bills on the block

Treasury put $95 billion of 13-week bills up for auction Monday, settling Oct. 8 and maturing Jan. 7, 2027. What to watch in the bond market's front end.

3 min read
Treasury Yields

Yield Curve Flattens as 2-Year Treasury Jumps Around Fed Hike

Treasury par yield data for Sept. 1-18, 2026 show the 2-year yield up 37 basis points and the 10-year up 22, flattening the yield curve around the Fed hike.

3 min read
High yield at July Treasury auctions
Federal Reserve

Fed Discount Rate Minutes: What They Mean for Treasury Yields

Fed minutes show the primary credit rate held at 3.75% in June as directors cited steady activity and fuel costs. What it means for Treasury yields now.

3 min read
Treasury

Bond Market Milestone: New 30-Year Treasury Sells Above 5%

Treasury's May 13, 2026 auction of $25 billion in new 30-year bonds cleared at a 5.046% high yield with a 5% coupon, drawing a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.30.

3 min read